Friday, December 14, 2012

Risk


Making decisions is an underlying base of all economics.  Economics depends on the decisions people make, and it changes with the changes in decisions.  So in order to know how economics works, one has to know how the brain makes decisions based on its own judgments.  There are many different things that go into making a decision, some consciously and some not; I will mainly go into the impact of gains versus losses. Consider the following choices:

Get $900 for sure or 90% chance to get $1,000
Lose $900 for sure or 90% chance to lose $1,000

Most people would choose the first option in the first problem, but the second in the second problem.  People would rather gain money for sure than risk getting nothing, but would want a chance for whether or not they lose money.  Along with this, people dislike losses more than they like gains.  This graph shows people value the money they lose more than the money they gain; this will lead them to need odds to be much more in their favor in order for them to take the risk.


"Basic Concepts." - Dickinson College Wiki. Wikipedia, 3 May 2007. Web. 17 Dec. 2012.
Kahneman, Daniel. Thinking, Fast and Slow. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011. Print. Page 279.

No comments:

Post a Comment