Thursday, December 13, 2012

Losses vs Costs


Would you rather accept a gamble that offers a 10% chance to win $95 and a 90% chance to lose $5, or would you pay $5 to participate in a lottery that offers a 10% chance to win $100 and a 90% chance to win nothing?

These two scenarios are actually the exact same, but in a survey more people chose the latter, because losses are weighted more heavily than costs in people’s minds.  Someone would rather pay $5 to gamble at the risk of losing nothing than to gamble by paying nothing and risk losing money.
There was a debate about whether gas stations could charge different amounts depending on the method of payment, cash or credit.  The credit-card lobby wanted, if the difference was allowed, it to be labeled as a cash discount rather than a credit surcharge, because people are more willing to not get a discount than to have to pay a fee. Businesses can use these strategies about the different aspects of decision making to their advantage when trying to make their side of the decision more appealing.


Kahneman, Daniel. Thinking, Fast and Slow. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2011. Print. Page 364.
Rosenwald, Michael S. "Two Gas Prices: Cash and Credit. Is This Fair?" Washington Post. The Washington Post, 26 June 2012. Web. 15 Dec. 2012.
"Nudge Blog." Nudge Blog. Nudge, 8 Aug. 2008. Web. 17 Dec. 2012.

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